Why Bill Parcells Should Say No to the Saints & 10 Things about the NFL’s busy off season

March 28, 2012No Comments

It’s been a wild off season in the NFL so far. Here are 10 things to keep an eye on heading into the season.

  • The countdown on Rex Ryan’s job has begun.
    • When the Jets acquired Tim Tebow from Denver they just set the current coaching staff up for a huge fall. If the Tim Tebow experiment fails then Rex Ryan will not survive its aftermath. Heading into his fourth year as coach of the Jets, Ryan is under quite a bit of pressure to prop up the shaky confidence of Sanchez along with the shaky skill set of media sensation Tim Tebow. The only bright side is if it doesn’t end well, it will still be fun to watch.
  • Peyton Manning will be a success in Denver.
    • I don’t know if Peyton will bring another Lombardi Trophy to the Broncos but he should be good enough for them to win the AFC West in 2012. Too often people over analyze great players fitting into systems. Peyton Manning is one of the greatest QBs of all time (especially in the regular season), and he should have no problem lifting the Broncos into the AFC’s upper crust.
  • Bill Parcells should sit this one out.
    • No one who knows football can deny Bill Parcells has a great football mind. He’s one of those guys that you would like to talk football with on a Sunday or any day for that matter. But I think if he comes back to the Saints as head coach he would be making a huge mistake. Not because of the whole Hall of Fame Argument, but rather because I think the game has passed him by. The players nowadays are not like the ones he coached back in the 80′s and 90′s with the Giants and Jets respectively. They are a different breed, more self centered than self deprecating, and quicker to shift responsibility to someone else than to own up to their mistakes. It’s not really a criticism of either side really, it’s just old school vs new school at its core. And in this case I think Parcells is better off in the booth or on a beach than he is on an NFL sideline.
  • The Colts are going to draft Andrew Luck.
    • Even if RG3 turns out to be better in the long run. The Colts can’t afford to take the PR hit of letting Peyton Manning go and then not drafting the QB who scouts and GMs have touted as the best QB prospect since Elway or Peyton Manning.
  • Carolina will be a playoff team next year.
    • You know what the stats say, right? In a nutshell 40% to 50% of the NFL playoff field turns over on a yearly basis. Using that fuzzy logic it would seem that a couple of new teams will sneak into the playoff mix next year. Keep an eye out for Carolina. Cam will be even better with a full training camp and their defense will be better if no reason other than the fact they will have more healthy bodies.

  • Randy Moss’s best days are behind him.
    • Randy Moss might still run like the wind but don’t expect numbers that rival those from his early Vikings or Patriot stints. Moss will still make big plays but he’s past the point of running a ton of plays for and with the 49ers run first offense he won’t see as many deep balls as he likes. In fact, I wouldn’t be totally surprised if the didn’t finish the season with the 49ers.
  • Bounties will never end.
    • But they’ll never be orchestrated at such a high organization level like the Saints did from 2009 – 2011. The nature of the game lends itself to such vices and among small groups of players I don’t think it’s too big a deal. Yes, I agree that the idea of hurting people for additional money is wrong, but to act like all the players in the NFL are choir boys would also be quite naive as well.
  • Running Backs are now officially second class citizens.
    • The days of the feature back are all but dead save a handful of teams. In fact, I am going to go out on a limb and say by the 2015 NFL season no more than 2 or 3 teams will have one feature back. The shelf life of running backs, combined with the pass happy rules have turned the running back position into a mere cog in the machine rather than the engine that used to power teams offenses.
  • The NFC is clearly the power conference.
    • Eli, Rodgers, Stafford, Brees, Cam, Ryan, Cutler, and Romo. Combine that with RG3 (potentially) and a young Josh Freeman and the NFC is the tougher conference without a doubt. Certainly these things swing back and forth as seasons go by, but in a pass happy league the NFC is clearly the deeper conference at QB heading into 2012.
  • Buffalo will make the playoffs next year.
    • Much like the logic I used with the Panthers I like the Bills to jump back into the postseason party next year. Mario Williams is a great signing and the Bills other free agent moves have them poised to be one of the sleeper teams heading into 2012.

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